{"id":12204,"date":"2012-10-16T09:57:15","date_gmt":"2012-10-16T09:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/amat-inmo-wp.localhost\/2012\/10\/16\/que-passa-en-el-mon-arab\/"},"modified":"2023-04-27T13:47:20","modified_gmt":"2023-04-27T13:47:20","slug":"que-passa-en-el-mon-arab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amatimmobiliaris.com\/w\/ca\/2012\/10\/que-passa-en-el-mon-arab\/","title":{"rendered":"Qu\u00e8 passa en el mon \u00e0rab?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c9s el t\u00edtol d\u2019una interessant confer\u00e8ncia al Cercle d\u2019Economia<\/a> emesa per l\u2019ex Ministre d\u2019Assumptes Exteriors i ex Ambaixador d’Espanya Shlomo Ben-Ami<\/strong>, el passat 27 de setembre.<\/p>\n

El despertar \u00e0rab \u00e9s una protesta cap a dins, contra la incompet\u00e8ncia<\/strong> i la corrupci\u00f3<\/strong> dels estats \u00e0rabs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

La primavera \u00e0rab<\/strong> \u00e9s de llarg recorregut i de conseq\u00fc\u00e8ncies imprevistes, cal sempre tenir present que en el m\u00f3n cap revoluci\u00f3 l\u2019ha acabat qui l\u2019ha comen\u00e7at. Per exemple, la revoluci\u00f3 francesa<\/strong> va comen\u00e7ar amb l’assassinat d’un rei i va acabar amb la instauraci\u00f3 d’un imperi. O la revoluci\u00f3 russa<\/strong>, la va comen\u00e7ar Kerenski i la va acabar Stalin.<\/p>\n

A Egipte<\/strong> els joves van ser la primera etapa i despr\u00e9s van ser substitu\u00efts pels musulmans<\/strong>. Cal tenir present que el 80% dels egipcis troben normal apedregar a la dona ad\u00faltera i el 90% vol un estat s\u00faper musulm\u00e0. Han passat de liderar la revolta una generaci\u00f3 jove i modernitzadora<\/strong>, a liderar-la l\u2019islam pol\u00edtic<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

EUA<\/strong> estava interessat en que guany\u00e9s l\u2019actual president, encara que fos islamista, perqu\u00e8 si hi havia la dictadura laica propiciaria la pujada dels membres de Al Kaeda.<\/p>\n

En la primavera \u00e0rab<\/strong> han resistit m\u00e9s les monarquies que les rep\u00fabliques, perqu\u00e8 encara hi ha un lligam entre les monarquies<\/strong> i el profeta<\/strong>. Aix\u00ed doncs, ning\u00fa demana el cap d\u2019un reim pero si demanen els dels Presidents de les rep\u00fabliques.<\/p>\n

Jord\u00e0nia<\/strong>, per la seva part, sembla estar molt preocupa. La casa reial pertany a una minoria i hi ha molt malestar entre els beduins<\/strong> i els palestins<\/strong> (de llarg els m\u00e9s ben preparats). Aquest \u00e9s un problema per Israel<\/strong> perqu\u00e8 Jord\u00e0nia \u00e9s un tap entre l\u2019islam i Israel.<\/p>\n

Cal tenir molt en compte que l\u2019islam<\/strong> t\u00e9 molta for\u00e7a, perqu\u00e8 les mesquites<\/strong> fan la funci\u00f3 social que hauria de fer el govern.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Els governants d\u2019Arg\u00e8lia<\/strong> viuen sota la idea de que ells ja han viscut la primavera \u00e0rab, per\u00f2 en Shlomo no est\u00e0 segur d\u2019aix\u00f2.<\/p>\n

Perqu\u00e8 tot va comen\u00e7ar al Magreb<\/strong>? Per la seva proximitat amb Europa<\/strong> o per l\u2019intercanvi que hi ha amb Europa?<\/p>\n

S\u00edria<\/strong> es va crear a la fi del colonialisme. Assad<\/strong> t\u00e9 menys control que el seu pare i el grup sunnita va pujant. Si caigu\u00e9s Assad hi haur\u00eda una sortida negociada, fet que tamb\u00e9 ho veu tamb\u00e9 aix\u00ed Ir\u00e0n. Ir\u00e0n, tot i que no \u00e9s un pa\u00eds \u00e0rab, t\u00e9 tend\u00e8ncia a voler-se protegir aliant-se amb un estat \u00e0rab, en aquest cas sembla que \u00e9s S\u00edria.<\/p>\n

Israel<\/strong> en aquest tema ha tingut dues etapes: primer donava suport a Assad<\/strong>, per\u00f2 despr\u00e9s va canviar perqu\u00e8 va pensar que calia protegir el tema nuclear, ja que, si cau Assad, ser\u00e0 pitjor per Israel.<\/p>\n

No cal oblidar que EUA<\/strong>va gastar m\u00e9s en la guerra d\u2019Irak<\/strong>, del que va costar tota\u00a0la II Guerra Mundial. S\u2019est\u00e0 fent molt dif\u00edcil per Obama la pressi\u00f3 israel\u00ed per a que envaeixi Iran i, a aix\u00f2, cal sumar-hi que d\u2019aqu\u00ed tres anys EUA no necessitar\u00e0 el petroli de l\u2019Orient Mitja<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Shlomo<\/strong> pensa que la guerra de S\u00edria pot seguir aix\u00ed molt de temps, no se\u2019n parla per\u00f2 t\u00e9 un paper molt important a la zona d\u2019Ar\u00e0bia Saud\u00ed<\/strong>, que \u00e9s una monarquia capitalista, ocultista i, a m\u00e9s, est\u00e0 decepcionada amb els EUA.<\/p>\n

No us heu fixat que no es parla de Mubarak<\/strong>? Ha sigut Arabia Saud\u00ed qui ha pagat a Egipte. Els pa\u00efsos \u00e0rabs trigaran molt a modernitzar-se i Shlomo no descarta que aparegui un militar que prengui el poder en algun d\u2019aquest pa\u00efsos i Occident<\/strong> ha perdut tota la for\u00e7a d\u2019influ\u00e8ncia. L\u2019assassinat del c\u00f2nsol EUA a L\u00edbia \u00e9s un exemple, fins fa poc mai s\u2019haguessin atrevit.<\/p>\n

A Ir\u00e0n, que passar\u00e0? En el tema d\u2019Ir\u00e0n hi ha massa ret\u00f2rica, la qual va b\u00e9 tant per Iran com per Israel. Shlomo creu que \u00e9s una amena\u00e7a estrat\u00e8gica, no existencial, i potencia el gran vincle entre EUA i Israel.<\/p>\n

Ir\u00e1n \u00e9s un pa\u00eds no \u00e0rab, xi\u00efta rodejat de sunnites, per protegir la seva revoluci\u00f3, la qual van voler exportar i van fracassar. La segona opci\u00f3 va ser convertir-se en un l\u00edder contra Occident, l\u2019objectiu dels que manen ara a Israel no \u00e9s Iran, \u00e9s garantir la seva for\u00e7a en l\u2019Orient mitj\u00e0 <\/strong>i\u00a0<\/strong>volen recuperar el respecte.<\/p>\n

Turquia<\/strong> \u00e9s un triomf. En Shlomo t\u00e9 dubtes sobre el fet que pugui jugar el paper dels otomans com alguns pensen, Egipte es ven com el l\u00edder i competir\u00e0 amb Turquia per l\u2019hegemonia dels pa\u00efsos \u00e0rabs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Que passar\u00e0 amb l\u2019islam? No hi ha un model \u00fanic i s\u2019acabar\u00e0 adaptant a la realitat, per\u00f2 tot te el seu temps. I en relaci\u00f3 amb Occident est\u00e0 400 anys enrere.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Immaculada Amat
\nCodirectora Gerent d\u2019Amat Immobiliaris<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00c9s el t\u00edtol d\u2019una interessant confer\u00e8ncia al Cercle d\u2019Economia emesa per l\u2019ex Ministre d\u2019Assumptes Exteriors i ex Ambaixador d’Espanya Shlomo Ben-Ami, el passat 27 de setembre. El despertar \u00e0rab \u00e9s una protesta cap a dins, contra la incompet\u00e8ncia i la corrupci\u00f3 dels estats \u00e0rabs. La primavera \u00e0rab \u00e9s de llarg recorregut i de conseq\u00fc\u00e8ncies imprevistes, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1159],"tags":[162],"yoast_head":"\nQu\u00e8 passa en el mon \u00e0rab? | Amat Immobiliaris<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amatimmobiliaris.com\/w\/ca\/2012\/10\/que-passa-en-el-mon-arab\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Qu\u00e8 passa en el mon \u00e0rab? | Amat Immobiliaris\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00c9s el t\u00edtol d\u2019una interessant confer\u00e8ncia al Cercle d\u2019Economia emesa per l\u2019ex Ministre d\u2019Assumptes Exteriors i ex Ambaixador d’Espanya Shlomo Ben-Ami, el passat 27 de setembre. 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